I am looking for you opinion on something. For the most part, I fish for blues along the Mississippi River south of St. Louis. As a general statement, springtime is the time for blues to gorge themselves on the dead shad that were winter killed up stream and start floating down upon spring thaw, up north. This year has seen much warmer weather both here and upstream. What do you think: Will the shad kill be much less than usual? If so, what effect will this have on the blues normal bite this spring? If the shad are not in normal numbers, will the blues bite on something else or will they hit every shad they see? If the shad numbers are down, what will be the overall effect on the size and numbers of blues? What strategy would you recommend for us catfolk who rely on the spring winter kill off of shad? Any effect you can add would be appreciated along with your opinions on the above questions.