Actually, the last time I fished Badin (2-16-08), out in front of the last houses up the river, right at daylight, the shad were almost thick enough to walk on. They were flipping everywhere. They were huge balls of bait on the depth finder. After about 30-45 min, they were gone. I never saw anything chasing them, and they were covering the entire bay where all the crappie fishermen drift. It shouldn't be long till they head to the banks.